Records records everywhere

A while back I had a post about career records that will likely be broken by current players. Now that we're 60% through the season, its time to look at potential single season records. Note that I'm using the terms record loosely, it does not always mean a positive outcome.

AB & PA - Jimmy Rollins is in a perfect situation to break both of these records. He's curently on pace for 719 ABs (705 is record) and 778 PAs (773 is record). He's leading off for a team that scores a lot of runs, he's healthy (always plays >= 154 games), and his team will likely be in a playoff hunt for the next 5 or 6 weeks. Also, he doesn't walk much allowing him the possibility to break both records. Probability of falling: 30%.

2B - Chase Utley is sitting atop the leaderboard with 41 doubles. This puts him on pace to tie the very old record. Will he? Well, he's also been quite healthy and like Rollins, gets lots of plate appearances. But keeping up the doubles pace is tough. There's a good chance he'll crack 60 for the first time in 70 years, but I put his chances of reaching 67 at 10%.

K (batter) - Adam Dunn holds the top 2 season ever with 195 and 194. As of today (with 120 Ks) he's on pace for 192. With the negative stigma attached to this record, managers have in the past sat players to prevent breaking the record (see Jose Hernandez in 2002). But since Dunn already owns the record, who cares. I'll put his chances right now at about 35%, but we'll keep a eye on his pace as the season progresses.

SF - A less heralded record, Carlos Lee has 13 SFs this year, putting him on pace for 20. The record is held by Gil Hodges with 19. We'll give him a 50% chance.

GIDP - Orlando Hudson has 20 so far, putting him on pace for 32. The record is 36 by Jim Rice. Not too much chance right now, maybe 5%.

SV - A couple of pitchers (Cordero, Valverde) are on pace for about 50-52 saves. This puts them several off of the 57 record. Given more opportunities its possible, but I'd say less that 5% that anyone reaches the record.

If you trust my numbers, and there's no reason for you to do that, the chance that at least one of these records is broken is just over 80%. Maybe I'm a little optimistic here. Of course, Utley's and Rollins' records are correlated since they both need the rest of the team to hit to get plate appearances, but you get the idea.