Thursday, July 12, 2007

Other records to fall

As the HR record is about to fall (see other post for more about this), I began thinking about what other career records could be broken by current players.

Saves - Since Hoffman has the record, he's breaking it with every save he gets, so that doesn't count. Depending on when Hoffman retires, Rivera or Wagner could possibly catch him. Also, watch out for Francisco Rodriguez, who's only 25 years old, on a good team and been a solid closer for 3 years now.

HBP (pitcher) - Not the most prestigous record, but Randy Johnson is only 21 away, and he's been averaging about 10/year. Possible if he keeps playing.

Thats all I can think of for major pitching stats.

Runs - Henderson leads at 2295. If Bonds plays next year as well, he'll likely pass him (currently at 2198). Next reasonable shot is AROD, who's at 1437 and averaging over 120 a year. Again, if he's healthy and plays until 40, there is a good chance he breaks it. Only 3 people have had more runs than him at his age, Mantle, Foxx and Ott. All 3 hit fairly early decline phases.

RBI - see AROD description above

Hits - Don't look at me like I'm crazy, but its possible for this record to fall. Pete Rose sits at 4256, Jeter (33) is at 2267 and AROD (32) is at 2168. Consider (starting with this year) for Jeter hits totals of 215,210,205,200,195,190,185 (a very linear decline). This puts 590 away from the record at age 39. It all depends how well he declines and of course if he wants to play until 42 to get the record, which is about as early as it could happen with any reasonable probability.

Total Bases - Possible for AROD, not likely.

Walks - Just like with saves, Bonds adds to his leading total. No one will catch him.

Strikeouts - Sosa could break Reggie Jackson's record if he plays 2 more seasons after this one. Thome could break it, but he'd probably need about 4 seasons but he's almost 37. If ARod hangs around to break the other records, he could very well take this as well. He's about 1100 away, which will take him 8.5 years at his current pace.

Extra base hits - Bonds will pass Aaron if he plays next season. Arod has a shot as well. This is starting to get repetitive.

HBP (batters) - Biggio is 2 away from tying Hughing Jennings. He should get this soon, although he only has 3 so far this season, way off his normal pace.

Let me know if you can think of any others.

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