Well, its been almost a month since I last discussed season records and lots has happened. Lets revisit.
AB & PA - Jimmy Rollins is still on pace for 710 ABs (705 is record) but only 772 PAs (773 is the record). The loss of Utely and Victorino from the lineup has probably lead to fewer chances, plus he has sometimes been batting 3rd instead of 1st since Utley's injury. He still has a chance though, but I'll lower it to 15%.
2B - Utley's injury has put an end to this chase. (pun intended)
K (batter) - Adam Dunn has for some reason, stopped striking out as much. But have no fear, beacuse Ryan Howard has picked up the slack. He is currently on pace for over 200, despite missing about 15 games earlier this season. Truly remarkable. Probability = 20%
SF - Well, I jinxed Carlos Lee, he has gotten ZERO SFs since my post. Sorry baseball world. Probability = 0%
GIDP - Orlando Hudson has also gotten exactly ZERO GIDPs since my post. Hmmm, this is strange. Anyway, Ryan Zimmerman leads the league with 24, but he's got almost no chance at the record.
SV - None of the leaders have kept up their pace, which was not good enough at the time, so I'll lower this one to 0% as well.
Well folks, its been a disappointing month for records, but Ryan Howard and Jimmy Rollins still have a fighting chance, so lets cross our fingers. Interestingly, their chances are highly correlated, since both need PAs for the record.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment